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supervisory data set collected by the European Central Bank that covers 26 large banks in the euro area. To assess the impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132464
analyzes the implications of the change from IAS 39 to IFRS 9 in the context of bank resilience. We shed light on two effects … bank resilience through lower capital levels. In the absence of archival data of IFRS 9 and their potential biases due to … the COVID-19 pandemic, we use the European bank stress test results as a natural experiment, in which all banks are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014230334
What is the effect of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) on financial stability? We answer this question by studying … a model of financial intermediation with an endogenously determined probability of a bank run, using global games. As an … alternative to bank deposits, consumers can also store their wealth in remunerated CBDC issued by the central bank. Consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553428
equilibrium is characterized by a deep market with highly leveraged banks. The crisis times equilibrium is characterized by bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935828
This paper proposes a framework for deriving early-warning models with optimal out-of-sample forecasting properties and applies it to predicting distress in European banks. The main contributions of the paper are threefold. First, the paper introduces a conceptual framework to guide the process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011920949
endogenous bank fragility and slow recovery from crises. When banks' investment decisions are not contractible, depositors form … expectations about bank risk-taking and demand a return on deposits according to their risk. This creates strategic … of bank net worth and lead to a "gambling trap" with a persistent drop in investment and output. I bring the model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959253
This paper studies optimal financial policy in a world where the financial sector can become excessively optimistic. I … decompose the welfare effects of bank capital regulation to demonstrate the effects of exuberance and its interaction with … evidence on the relationship between bank capital and risk-taking. Finally, I investigate the sensitivity of these insights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012178343
We propose the CoJPoD, a novel framework explicitly linking the cross-sectional and cyclical dimensions of systemic risk. In this framework, banking sector distress in the form of the joint probability of default of financial intermediaries (reflecting contagion from both direct and indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332831
This paper studies the long-run evolution of bank risk and its links to the macroeconomy. Using data for 17 advanced … economies, we show that the riskiness of bank assets declined materially between 1870 and 2016. But even though bank assets have … become safer, the losses on these assets are associated with increasingly large output gaps. Before 1945, bank asset returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013265941
question, I use firm-level data and firm-bank linkages to estimate the causal effect of an imported lending cut from a large … German bank on firms' capital structure and real outcomes. The estimates imply that for every 1 euro reduction in debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015179796