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We investigate whether ideology drives the sentiments of parliamentarians when they speak to the central bank they hold accountable. To this end, we collect textual data on the quarterly hearings of the ECB President before the European Parliament from 1999 to 2019. We apply sentiment analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012939688
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001702820
Trend inflation estimates for 12 of the largest Asian economies over 1995-2018 offer important insights on inflation … dynamics and inflation expectations. The disinflationary shocks that hit the region since 2014 were partly transitory, but … their effects have been different depending on the behaviour of trend inflation in each country. Countries with relatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132591
socially optimal allocation requires a commitment to inflation. We illustrate this idea through a nominal version of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484337
pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the …Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635882
Price level targeting has been proposed as an alternative to inflation targeting that may confer benefits if a central … bank sets policy under discretion, even if societyu0092s loss function is specified in terms of inflation (instead of price …-of-thumb to form inflation expectations, or does not fully understand the nature of the target, price level targeting may in fact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635890
announcing a quantified inflation objective, other forms of communication, or by publishing central banks’ inflation and output … (economic) transparency, and given our findings that disagreement among inflation expectations in the general public is not … ; disagreement ; survey expectations ; monetary policy ; inflation targeting ; central bank communication ; forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969574
This paper first shows that the forecast error incurred when assuming that future inflation will be equal to the … inflation target announced by the central bank is typically at least as small and often smaller than forecast errors of model …-based and published inflation forecasts. It then shows that there are substantial benefits in having rule-of-thumb agents who …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003230432
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212851
On 1 June 2018 the ECB celebrated its 20th anniversary. This paper provides a comprehensive view of the ECB's monetary policy over these two decades. The first section provides a chronological account of the macroeconomic and monetary policy developments in the euro area since the adoption of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959260