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The impact of US tariffs against China on US imports : evidence for trade diversion?
Cigna, Simone; Meinen, Philipp; Schulte, Patrick; … - 2020
consequence of tariff shocks. We exploit sudden policy changes in the context of the trade dispute between the US and China. Based … showing a strong negative direct effect of US tariffs on US imports from China, but (2) do not find evidence for significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390489
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Do banks fuel climate change?
Reghezza, Alessio; Altunbaş, Yener; Marqués Ibáñez, … - 2021
agreement, European banks reallocated credit away from polluting firms. In the aftermath of President Trump's 2017 announcement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518258
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Text-based recession probabilities
Ferrari, Massimo; Le Mezo, Helena - 2021
This paper proposes a new methodology based on textual analysis to forecast U.S. recessions. Specifically, the paper develops an index in the spirit of Baker et al. (2016) and Caldara and Iacoviello (2018) which tracks developments in U.S. real activity. When used in a standard recession...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421073
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Is China climbing up the quality ladder? : estimating cross country differences in product quality using Eurostat's COMEXT trade database
Pula, Gábor; Santabárbara, Daniel - 2011
There is an ongoing debate in the literature about the quality content of Chinese exports and to what extent China … imposes a threat to the market positions of advanced economies. While China's export structure is very similar to that of the … values reflect quality the prevailing view of the literature is that China exports low quality varieties of the same products …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935837
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Markups in the euro area and the US over the period 1981-2004 : a comparison of 50 sectors
Christopoulou, Rebekka (contributor);  … - 2008
This paper provides estimates of price-marginal cost ratios or markups for 50 sectors in 8 euro area countries and the US over the period 1981-2004. The estimates are obtained applying the methodology developed by Roeger (1995) on the EU KLEMS March 2007 database. Five stylized facts are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636104
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International transmission and monetary policy cooperation
Coenen, Günter; Lombardo, Giovanni; Smets, Frank; … - 2008
We use a version of the New Area-Wide Model (NAWM) developed at the ECB in order to quantify the gains from monetary policy cooperation. The model is calibrated in order to match a set of empirical moments. We then derive the cooperative and (open-loop) Nash monetary policies, assuming that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636288
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How does competition affect efficiency and soundness in banking? : new empirical evidence
Schaeck, Klaus (contributor); Čihák, Martin (contributor) - 2008
A growing body of literature indicates that competition increases bank soundness. Applying an industrial organization based approach to large data sets for European and U.S. banks, we offer new empirical evidence that efficiency plays a key role in the transmission from competition to soundness....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003789457
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The behaviour of the real exchange rate : evidence from regression quantiles
Nikolaou, Kleopatra (contributor) - 2006
We test for mean reversion in real exchange rates using a recently developed unit root test for non-normal processes based on quantile autoregression inference in semi-parametric and non-parametric settings. The quantile regression approach allows us to directly capture the impact of different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003358655
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Forecasting economic aggregates by disaggregates
Hendry, David F. (contributor); Hubrich, Kirstin (contributor) - 2006
We suggest an alternative use of disaggregate information to forecast the aggregate variable of interest, that is to include disaggregate information or disaggregate variables in the aggregate model as opposed to first forecasting the disaggregate variables separately and then aggregating those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003280663
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Sectoral explanations of employment in Europe : the role of services
D'Agostino, Antonello (contributor);  … - 2006
This paper investigates the determinants of the service sector employment share in the EU-15, for the aggregate service sector, four sub-sectors and twelve service sector branches. Recently, both Europe and the US have experienced an increase in the share of service-related jobs in total...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337138