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We propose a new methodology to identify aggregate demand and supply shocks in the bank loan market. We present a model … largely explained by demand shocks. Fluctuations in lending rates were instead mostly determined by bank- driven supply shocks … loan-level data: according to our framework, firm- and bank-time fixed effects only separate demand from supply under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818795
coalition, as members did not agree on keeping the oil market tight in the face of a large negative demand shock. Yet, was OPEC … prices actually reflect OPEC+ production cuts rather than other factors, like swings in demand for oil? How would the price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271582
in mark-ups. Demand also suffered a conspicuous decline. Our results suggest that non-stressed countries seem to enjoy a … stronger recovery in terms of fundamentals like quantity TFP, demand and mark-ups than stressed countries. Yet, their overall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637504
This paper uses a unique comprehensive database on French security assets and liabilities to study the dynamics of domestic and external sectoral portfolios, their network structure, and their role in the propagation of shocks. We first show how the sharp deterioration of the net external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959224
Using administrative data on mortgages issued in Italy between 2018 and 2019, this paper estimates loan demand … interest rate increases the average loan size by 0.22% whereas a commensurable increase in maturity increases loan demand by 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014478506
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Euro area GDP and components are nowcast and forecast one quarter ahead. Based on a dataset of 163 series comprising the relevant monthly indicators, simple bridge equations with one explanatory variable are estimated for each. The individual forecasts generated by each equation are then pooled,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003789413
Several factor-based models are estimated to investigate the role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro areamanufacturing production. Following Boivin and Ng (2006), the emphasis is put on the role of dataset selection on the empirical performance of factor models. First,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778786