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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011795082
I study the diffusion process of permanent disinflationary shocks in the Mexican economy using disaggregated price data for 283 goods across 46 cities in the period 1995-2012. I first show that the distribution of shocks shows considerable heterogeneity, with more than 80% of all cases having...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206093
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014513438
During the recent inflation episode, the paradigm of separated objectives for monetary and fiscal policies has shown … some limits. Fiscal policies have helped mitigate inflation. We advocate for the emergence of a new paradigm that gives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502431
allows us to evaluate the anchoring of inflation expectations in the Mexican economy. To address this issue, in this paper we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523612
This document studies the recent evolution of the break-even-inflation implicit in the yields of long-term financial … instruments in Mexico. In particular, it analyzes the dynamics of its main components: the long-run inflation expectation and the … components. This reflects, on the one hand, the progressive convergence of the estimated inflation expectation to Banco de México …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011576178
Forecasts of inflation in the United States since the mid eighties have had smaller errors than in the past, but those … their own "Great Moderation." For those countries that did not attain macroeconomic stability, inflation forecasting … monetary regime does, makes possible the estimation of parsimonious inflation models for all available data (eight decades for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568466
We construct inflation pressure indicators based on the long-run relationship that exists between monetary aggregates … determinants considering its long-run coefficients. Our results indicate that monetary policy has been congruent with the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011294297
seigniorage maximizing inflation rate, and (3) analysis of the potential relationship between a measure of excess money and … inflation. Results indicate that the low inflation equilibrium is stable, and that the excess money indicator shows, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011294298
. Our results suggest the existence of nonlinearities in Mexico only for the merchandise inflation measure, including the … over headline inflation is small. Our results are consistent with the consolidation of a low ERPT in Mexico. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012167284