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allows us to evaluate the anchoring of inflation expectations in the Mexican economy. To address this issue, in this paper we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523612
This paper analyzes the exchange rate pass through to consumer prices in Mexico using different methodologies. First, we estimate Vector Autoregressive Models (VAR). Subsequently, we estimate Autoregressive Distributed Lags Models (ARDL) in order to make a long run analysis. In particular, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012166342
Emerging economies have been subject to abrupt reversals in capital inflows, which have adverse consequences for economic activity and financial stability. An important question for policymakers is how to respond to a sudden loss of external financing and its negative effects on the domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009410474
We explore the dynamics of inflation, inflation expectations, and seigniorage-financed fiscal deficits in Mexico. To do … so, we estimate the model in Sargent, Williams, and Zha (2009) using Mexican CPI inflation data. This model features dual … expected inflation equilibriums and regime switching in the mean and variance of the fiscal deficit probability density …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012165948
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011795082
During the recent inflation episode, the paradigm of separated objectives for monetary and fiscal policies has shown … some limits. Fiscal policies have helped mitigate inflation. We advocate for the emergence of a new paradigm that gives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502431
Commodity prices are an important driver of fiscal policy and the business cycle in many developing economies. We analyze a dynamic stochastic small-open-economy model of sovereign default, featuring endogenous fiscal policy and stochastic commodity revenues. The model accounts for a positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011630790
This paper evaluates whether a macroeconomic trade model, where the decision of trade and the Balassa-Samuelson effect are endogenous, can explain recent empirical facts about the importance of nontraded goods prices in real exchange rate variations better than a standard Balassa- Samuelson...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500819
have decreased substantially from 2001 onwards, which coincides with the adoption of an inflation targeting regime by Banco … de Mexico. -- Exchange rate pass-through ; import price ; consumer price ; distribution chain ; inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009380263
trajectory. -- Depreciation ; Inflation ; Exchange Rate Pass-through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724066