This paper explores empirically the relationship between the Monetary Policy in the U.S. and the real exchange rate MXN/USD over the period 1996-2012 with monthly data. We consider a cointegration approach using a model of real exchange rate fundamentals as in Goldfajn and Valdes (1999), where...

The paper explores the influences of financial development on economic growth and its volatility. First, it discusses the theoretical literature that attempts to explain these relationships. Then, it presents time series evidence for the cases of Mexico and the US. We use GARCH models, which...

In this document we analyze the dynamics of per capita value added in manufacturing as a proxy of per capita income in Mexico’s municipalities and US counties. Specifically we seek to determine if there is convergence (absolute or conditional), divergence or stratification. A dynamic panel...

This paper uses a cointegration approach to estimate the demand functions for imports and exports in Mexico. The especification of each function is derived from the model of imperfect substitute goods and are estimated using monthly data over the period 1991-2005. It is found that all variables...

In this paper we investigate empirically the determinants of credit default rates in the Peruvian system of Municipal Banks of Savings and Credit, using a dynamic fixed effects model with monthly data, over the period 2003-2010. We postulate that credit default rates are positively related to...

In this paper we study the process of economic growth and convergence in Central America over the period 1960-2000. We specify a dynamic panel data model with fixed effects and evaluate the impact of the factors typically considered in the empirical growth literature, including human capital and...

This paper studies the relationship between macroeconomic fundamentals and the dynamics of stock market prices in Mexico. Specifically, we examine the reaction of daily returns to announcements on macroeconomic variables, using GARCH models. We investigate the behavior of the Mexican stock price...

In this paper we investigate whether the communication bias of the Bank of Mexico provides information that helps to anticipate the course of monetary policy in subsequent periods. We first construct an objective index of the communication bias, based upon an statistical analysis of key terms...

This paper evaluates empirically the volatility of real exchange rate in Peru under two regimes of monetary policy: the Monetary Targeting Regime, MTR, (1995:11–2001:12) and the Inflation Targeting Regime, ITR, (2002:01–2012:12). We estimate a small-scale macroeconomic model along the lines...

This paper reviews the literature on the econometrics of median-unbiased estimation in panel data and provides methodological guidelines for its implementation. The method is then used to evaluate the well known GDP convergence and Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypotheses. In the first two...