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government provide incentives for innovation in a fiscally sustainable way? We address this question by examining the Ramsey … problem of finding optimal tax and subsidy schemes in a model in which growth is endogenously sustained by risky innovation …. We characterize the shadow value of growth and entry in the innovation sector. We find that a profit tax is required to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771604
We introduce uncertainty into Holmstrom and Milgrom (1987) to study optimal long-term contracting with learning. In a dynamic relationship, the agent's shirking not only reduces current performance but also increases the agent’s information rent due to the persistent belief manipulation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557712
We draw on the monthly Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) to make three observations about pandemic-era uncertainty in the U.S. economy. First, equity market traders and executives of nonfinancial firms share similar assessments about uncertainty at one-year lookahead horizons. That is, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416311
We develop a new monthly panel survey of business executives and a new question design that elicits subjective probability distributions over own-firm outcomes at a one-year lookahead horizon. Our Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) began in 2014 and now covers 1,500 firms drawn from all 50...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012020039