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Does fiscal policy have large and qualitatively different effects on the economy when the nominal interest rate is zero? An emerging consensus in the New Keynesian literature is that the answer is yes. New evidence provided here suggests that the answer is often no. For a broad range of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010209160
We provide a quantitative theory of deflation and secular stagnation. In our lifecycle framework, an aging population puts persistent downward pressure on the price level, real interest rates, and output. A novel feature of our theory is that it also recognizes the reactions of government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013382196
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Does fiscal policy have qualitatively different effects on the economy in a liquidity trap? We analyze a nonlinear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009513278
We incorporate regime switching between monetary and fiscal policies in a general equilibrium model to explain three stylized facts: (1) the positive stock-bond return correlation from 1971 to 2000 and the negative one after 2000, (2) the negative correlation between consumption and inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294741
We study the impacts of the 2009 monetary stimulus and its interaction with infrastructure spending on credit allocation. We develop a two-stage estimation approach and apply it to China's loanlevel data that covers all sectors in the economy. We find that except for the manufacturing sector,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265180
The Chinese economy has undergone three major phases: the 1978-97 period marked as the SOE-led economy, the 1998-2015 phase as the investment-driven economy, and the new normal economy since 2016. All three economies have been shaped by the government financial policies, defined as a set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928237
Japan is in the midst of a demographic transition that is both rapid and large by international standards. As recently … as 1990, Japan had the youngest population among the Group of 6 large, developed countries. However, the combined effects … of aging of the baby boomer generation and low fertility rates have produced very rapid aging. Japan now finds itself …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010434123