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This study discusses fertility trends and variation in countries that have completed the transition from high to around …-replacement fertility in the 1950s-1980s - especially in Europe, East Asia and North America - and summarises the key findings that are … relevant for the countries with a more recent experience of fertility declines towards replacement level. A central finding is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011581187
population growth, an implication which is hard to see in the data. Here we integrate micro-founded fertility and schooling into … future economic growth - when fertility is going to be below replacement level in virtually all fully developed countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008809945
determine the final population trend. The period fertility rates are not relevant to ultimate population size in the case of … formal demography and can be applied to the fertility transition modeling, population forecasting, and population genetics. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003317387
The classical result by R.A. Fisher concerning reproductive value dynamics is expanded to the case of varying vital rates with a constant cohort Lotka's r. Based on the demographic potential approach, generalization of the concept of reproductive value is introduced, which exhibits exponential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003317388
–birth probabilities in Austria over the period 1984 to 2004. Moreover, we apply our model to forecast age-specific fertility rates up to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003674607
for countries outside Europe suggest a global spread of two-child preferences, also in many countries where the fertility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010355094
This paper discusses results of the global survey of experts on the future of low fertility in low-fertility countries … produce global argumentbased population projections by age, sex and level of education. First we give an overview of fertility … changes in major low-fertility regions. Next we outline main theoretical arguments and review a wide range of factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010235972
We assess Africa's prospects for enjoying a demographic dividend. While fertility rates and dependency ratios in Africa …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532935
This study provides a systematic analysis of parity components of the cohort fertility decline in 32 low-fertility … countries in Europe, North America, Australia and East Asia. We decompose the change in cohort fertility in each country among … whether it was different in countries reaching very low completed fertility. The fall in fertility was mostly driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011613210
Parenthood postponement has been a major component of the huge changes in fertility since the 1970s. We are seeking to … understand whether the delay in childbearing contributed to lower aggregate fertility levels in Austria, through the study of … late fertility intentions. Our study is based on the Austrian Micro-Censuses (1986-2016) and on the Austrian Generation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855009