This paper analyzes the recently documented instability of money demand in theeuro area in the framework of a Markov switching trend model. First, we consider astandard °exible price model with stable money demand, rational expectations, andan exogenous income-money ratio which follows a Markov...

We analyse the role of euro area M3 as an indicator for future inflation. We analyse the short and long run relationship between money growth and inflation in an error correction framework taking into account the output gap and short and long term interest rates. We find robust cointegration...