conflict in Central America. Identification is obtained from spatial and intertemporal variation in the intensity of the … conflict drawn from historical archive data comprising records of human casualties, disappearances, and refugees. The results …

increase in many fragile and conflict-affected areas where half of the extreme poor are expected to reside by 2030. These areas …-push" interventions can dramatically reduce poverty in fragile and conflict-affected regions …

This paper investigates whether poor employment prospects of potential insurgents help to fuel conflict. The paper … benefits are unobserved. In contrast, many other shocks in the conflict literature are persistent and unanticipated, thus also … estimates of the effect of harvest shocks on conflict intensity in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Pakistan using subnational variation …

This paper studies the performance of alternative prediction models for conflict. The analysis contrasts the … correlates of conflict to minimize the prediction loss function, and (2) an algorithm that chooses a set of thresholds for the … same variables, together with the number of breaches of thresholds that constitute a prediction of conflict, that minimize …

A growing body of work has shown that the quality of national institutions that enforce written contracts plays an … margin than the extensive margin of exporting. In addition, better contracting institutions increase the probability of … developing countries that seek to boost export growth but many of which suffer from poor contracting institutions …

To what extent does immigration affect the economic institutions in destination countries? While there is much evidence … that economic institutions in developed nations are either unaffected or improved after immigration, there is little … evidence of how immigration affects the economic institutions of developing countries that typically have weaker institutions …

promote countercyclical fiscal policy and should be combined with strong institutions. Moreover, fiscal rules seem to limit …

The impact of opening to trade on economic institutions is likely to be multifaceted and depend crucially on country … why international trade opening has the potential to transform institutions. What is needed to effect institutional change … distribution of political power as the determinant of how institutions react to trade opening. If "rent seekers" are in power when …