Showing 1 - 10 of 69
Like other countries in the Middle East and North Africa region, Algeria has undergone a demographic transition. But … Algeria's fertility decline defies conventional explanation. Despite inauspicious starting conditions-a high total fertility … rate, reluctant policy environment, and delayed implementation of a national family planning program-Algeria has surpassed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012247541
African countries: Algeria, Ghana, Morocco, and Nigeria. First, the paper provides theoretical foundations of such a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012113908
What major insights have emerged from development economics in the past decade, and how do they matter for the World Bank? This challenging question was recently posed by World Bank Group President David Malpass to the staff of the Development Research Group. This paper assembles a set of 13...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228661
This paper presents a review of studies that estimate the cost of achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. Although the Sustainable Development Goals provide useful benchmarks for fiscal authorities and donors, typical cross-country costing exercises can be misleading, for a variety of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229769
The COVID-19-triggered collapse in oil prices in March and April 2020 was the seventh, and by far the most severe, in a series of such collapses since 1970. This paper, first, compares this most recent collapse and its drivers with previous ones in an event study. It finds that it was associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388647
In the three months since most observers, including the World Bank, issued their last forecasts, the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Region has changed substantially. Political tensions have eased somewhat with presidential and legislative elections completed in a few countries. Egypt's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245200
This paper investigates how the devolution of oil windfalls affects the likelihood of political violence. It shows that transferring large shares of oil wealth can prevent conflict, while transferring small shares can trigger it. Among the different transfer schemes, fiscal transfers (to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245563
Previous sharp oil price declines have been accompanied by elevated ex post volatility. In contrast, volatility was much less elevated during the oil price crash in 2014/15. This paper provides evidence that oil prices declined in a relatively measured manner during 2014/15, with dispersion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245707
This paper presents a comprehensive cross-country database of fiscal space, broadly defined as the availability of budgetary resources for a government to service its financial obligations. The database covers up to 200 countries over the period 1990-2016, and includes 28 indicators of fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245802
This paper investigates the causal impact of oil price fluctuations on financial markets since January 2014. Following a heteroscedasticity-based event study approach, the paper instruments changes in oil prices by exogenous shocks in oil supply. It finds that oil price declines raise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012246454