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This paper presents a procedure to construct an asymmetric fan chart of risks around global growth forecasts. The distribution of risks around global growth forecasts is estimated by weighting information extracted from option pricing and survey-based measures of risk factors of global growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968631
The many and varied crises in the world economy since 2007 seem to have different origins and diverse manifestations …. This paper contends that there is however a structural shift beneath the global economy that is now reaching a critical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969887
rest of the world. Second, this convergence process will be accompanied by a widening of income distribution in two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012746757
The influence of climate on economic growth is a topic of growing interest. Few studies have investigated the potential role that climate hazards and their cumulative effects have on the growth prospects for a country. Due to the relatively stationary spatial patterns of global climate, some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976459
This paper surveys the literature to document the main stylized facts, risks, and policy challenges related to the expansion of global nonfinancial corporate debt after the 2008–09 global financial crisis. Nonfinancial corporate debt steadily increased after the crisis, especially in emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823367
simple specification is used in which the economy can produce a single homogeneous consumption good with two different … increasing returns, then the economy may linger at a low level of income indefinitely or it may achieve greater progress but then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973050
This paper discusses the theoretical arguments in favor of and against economic globalization and, with a view to ascertaining whether Latin America may be able to capture the globalization upside, examines the trends and salient features of Latin America's globalization as compared with that of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973335
This paper reviews the empirical and theoretical literature on economic growth to examine how the four components of the climate change bill, namely mitigation, proactive (ex ante) adaptation, reactive (ex post) adaptation, and ultimate damages of climate change affect growth, especially in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012747650
of millions of people in the developing world are likely to be displaced by SLR within this century, and accompanying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012747839
The World Bank Group recently adopted two overarching goals -- the end of extreme, chronic poverty in the world by 2030 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973783