Showing 1 - 10 of 549
Previous sharp oil price declines have been accompanied by elevated ex post volatility. In contrast, volatility was … price declines. This finding is robust to nonparametric and GARCH measures of volatility. Further, the U.S. dollar … appreciation exerted a strong influence on volatility during the recent crash; in contrast, the impact of shocks on equity markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970942
measures, the financial globalization index corrects for the heteroscedasticity of global volatility. This leads to a downward … globalization reduces market volatility (measured by the volatility of stock returns) in tranquil times, and increases it in … turbulent ones. On average, the first effect dominates, so that financial globalization leads to a decrease in market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954311
This paper examines how the ability to access long-term debt affects firm-level growth volatility. The analysis finds … growth volatility in countries with better-developed financial systems, as these firms may benefit from reduced refinancing … risk and therefore growth volatility associated with short-term financing. Increased availability of long-term finance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970254
This paper investigates the adverse effects of oil price volatility on economic activity and the extent to which … countries can hedge against such effects by using renewable energy. By considering the Realized Volatility of oil prices, rather …, and variance decompositions show that oil price volatility has more-adverse effects in all sample countries than oil price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973994
Between 1999 and 2008, world oil prices more than quadrupled in real terms. For oil importers, vulnerability to oil … domestic product. Oil intensity fell in more than half the countries in every income group and in every region of the world … pass-through to consumers of increases in world prices of gasoline, diesel, kerosene, and liquefied petroleum gas between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974899
For individual countries, variable trade barriers can be used to reduce the volatility of domestic relative to world … prices. If this is done by countries accounting for a large share of the market, its effect is offset by increases in world … price volatility. This study shows the nature of the resulting collective action problem, with the policy being ineffective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976030
This paper addresses the mechanisms by which trade openness affects growth volatility. Using a diverse set of export … effect of trade openness on growth volatility. The authors also identify positive thresholds for product diversification at … which the effect of openness on volatility changes sign. The effect is shown to be positive only for a minority of countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976666
Do sources of volatility differ by country characteristics such as the level of development, country size, quality of … that factors affecting gross domestic product volatility differ systematically by country size, development level, and … paper shows that small developing countries are more prone to domestic output shocks, while shocks to the world interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912304
With the benefit of hindsight, this paper provides a fresh and comprehensive look at the causes of the 2014-16 collapse in oil prices and its impact on the global economy. It disentangles the contribution of supply and demand factors, assesses the impact on activity in oil exporters and oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920304
This paper investigates the causal impact of oil price fluctuations on financial markets since January 2014. Following a heteroscedasticity-based event study approach, the paper instruments changes in oil prices by exogenous shocks in oil supply. It finds that oil price declines raise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964339