Showing 1 - 10 of 520
Previous sharp oil price declines have been accompanied by elevated ex post volatility. In contrast, volatility was much less elevated during the oil price crash in 2014/15. This paper provides evidence that oil prices declined in a relatively measured manner during 2014/15, with dispersion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970942
With the benefit of hindsight, this paper provides a fresh and comprehensive look at the causes of the 2014-16 collapse in oil prices and its impact on the global economy. It disentangles the contribution of supply and demand factors, assesses the impact on activity in oil exporters and oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920304
relevant for emerging markets as they integrate financially with the rest of the world. This paper argues that, because of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068213
(the VIX, the U.S. real interest rate and real exchange rate, U.S. GDP growth, and world commodity prices) that explain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926785
This paper analyzes the impact of Covid-19 and uncooperative trade policies on world food markets. It quantifies the … percent on average. Escalating export restrictions would multiply the initial shock by a factor of 3, with world food prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833536
This paper uses simple analytical models to study high-income donor countries' willingness to pay to supply mitigation finance to low-income countries; how this depends on modality for finance supply; and how it changes as the global greenhouse gas mitigation agenda moves forward. The paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833615
The paper uses Google mobility data to identify the determinants of social distancing during the 2020 COVID-19 outbreak. The findings for the United States indicate that much of the decrease in mobility is voluntary, driven by the number of COVID-19 cases and proxying for greater awareness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834265
The spread of COVID-19 and implementation of "social distancing" policies around the world have raised the question of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834268
This paper examines the concept of trade facilitation in services from the perspective of the recent literature on the determinants of services trade. The aim is to conceptualize trade facilitation in this area as a dimension of international integration beyond the baseline restrictiveness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834704
This paper analyzes the spatial distribution of refugees over 1987-2017 and establishes several stylized facts about refugees today compared with past decades. (i) Refugees today travel longer distances. (ii) Refugees today are less likely to seek protection in a neighboring country. (iii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837483