Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 550
Cover Image
Variance and Skewness in Density Predictions : A World GDP Growth Forecast Assessment
Mendez Ramos, Fabian - 2019
surveys on expectations and implied statistics of predictive models. The BCEF procedure is applied to produce world GDP growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901276
Cover Image
Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts
Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2017
This paper presents a procedure to construct an asymmetric fan chart of risks around global growth forecasts. The distribution of risks around global growth forecasts is estimated by weighting information extracted from option pricing and survey-based measures of risk factors of global growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968631
Cover Image
Predicting Project Outcomes : A Simple Methodology for Predictions Based on Project Ratings
Blanc, Marc - 2017
persistent problem in the World Bank and a particular problem in the World Bank's East Asia and Pacific region since 2012 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968203
Cover Image
On the Predictability of Growth
Cristelli, Matthieu Claudio Ascagne - 2017
A country's productive structure and competitiveness are harbingers of growth. Growth is a dynamic process based on capabilities that are difficult to define and measure across countries. This paper uses a global measure of fitness (or complexity-weighted diversity of production) as a method to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951516
Cover Image
European Community-Sugar : Cross-Subsidization and the World Trade Organization
Howse, Robert L. - 2016
An important recent World Trade Organization dispute settlement case for many developing countries concerned European … being used to cover losses associated with exports of sugar to the world market. Although in principle the economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012747624
Cover Image
The World Trade Organization and Antidumping in Developing Countries
Bown, Chad P. - 2016
Since the 1995 inception of the World Trade Organization (WTO), developing countries have become some of the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012747971
Cover Image
Some Thoughts on Making Long-Term Forecasts for the World Economy
Fardoust, Shahrokh - 2017
the world urgently need to see the big picture if they are to deal with the specific challenges and opportunities they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973755
Cover Image
Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings
Geli, Patricia - 2017
A number of recent studies have empirically documented links between characteristics of World Bank projects and their … ultimate outcomes as evaluated by the World Bank's Independent Evaluation Group. This paper explores the in-sample and out … project. Such models perform better than self-assessments of project performance provided by World Bank staff during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972899
Cover Image
Thirty-Five Years of Long-Run Energy Forecasting : Lessons for Climate Change Policy
Hourcade, Jean-Charles - 2017
This paper sheds light on an implicit dimension of the climate policy debate: the extent to which supply-side response (emission-reducing energy technologies) may substitute for the transformation of consumption behavior and thus help get around the political difficulties surrounding such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976548
Cover Image
Political Ideology, Quality at Entry and the Success of Economic Reform Programs
Smets, Lodewijk - 2017
This study investigates how government ideology matters for the success of World Bank economic policy loans, which … typically support market-liberalizing reforms. A simple model predicts that World Bank staff will invest more effort in … orientation. This result is robust to changes in the sample, alternative measures of ideology, different estimation techniques and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975132