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selected from these hundreds. One scenario is optimistic regarding poverty and is labeled ?prosperity;? the other scenario is … all regions. But the magnitude of these impacts depends on development choices. In the prosperity scenario with rapid … scenario) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970671
business-as-usual scenario of economic development, if employment rates are at least maintained. The magnitude of the …, savings-investment, and employment. Scenario analyses of these different policy outcomes interacting with the shifting age …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968204
attributable to the actions (or in some cases, inaction) of policy makers and incumbents. For each scenario, the paper presents … part of that theme is how countries can avoid lock-in, or how they might become derailed into a lopsided scenario. Some … to recognize that multiple combinations of these behaviors can lead to a lock-in or lopsided scenario. In addition to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892369
Although water variability has already been observed across river basins, climate change is predicted to increase variability. Such environmental changes may aggravate political tensions, especially in regions that are not equipped with an appropriate institutional apparatus. Increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966022
Climate-driven water variability is a natural phenomenon observed across river basins, but predicted to increase due to climate change. Environmental change of this kind may aggravate political tensions, especially in regions that are not equipped with an appropriate institutional apparatus....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967833
The impacts of climate change on poverty depend on the magnitude of climate change, but also on demographic and socioeconomic trends. An analysis of hundreds of baseline scenarios for future economic development in the absence of climate change in Vietnam shows that the main determinant of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968641
With 70 percent of its population living in coastal areas and low-lying deltas, Vietnam is exposed to many natural hazards, including river and coastal flooding. These hazards are expected to worsen due to climate change, and the impacts of any change in hazard magnitude may be particularly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968642
This paper investigates possible impacts of climate change on the poor communities of the Bangladesh Sundarbans via changes in aquatic salinity and mangrove species. The implications for poor communities are assessed by computing changes in high-value mangrove species for the five sub-districts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968726
Climate change damage (or, more correctly, impact) functions relate variations in temperature (or other climate variables) to economic impacts in various dimensions, and are at the basis of quantitative modeling exercises for the assessment of climate change policies. This document provides a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968733
Weather risk and incomplete insurance markets are significant contributors to poverty for rural households in developing countries. Weather index insurance has emerged as a possible tool for overcoming these challenges. This paper provides evidence on the impact of weather index insurance from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968741