Showing 1 - 10 of 521
surveys on expectations and implied statistics of predictive models. The BCEF procedure is applied to produce world GDP growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901276
This paper presents a procedure to construct an asymmetric fan chart of risks around global growth forecasts. The distribution of risks around global growth forecasts is estimated by weighting information extracted from option pricing and survey-based measures of risk factors of global growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968631
the world urgently need to see the big picture if they are to deal with the specific challenges and opportunities they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973755
A country's productive structure and competitiveness are harbingers of growth. Growth is a dynamic process based on capabilities that are difficult to define and measure across countries. This paper uses a global measure of fitness (or complexity-weighted diversity of production) as a method to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951516
fluctuations in iron ore world prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975199
these countries, representing major world regions and accounting for close to 80 percent of the developing world's GDP, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014060397
relevant for emerging markets as they integrate financially with the rest of the world. This paper argues that, because of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068213
(the VIX, the U.S. real interest rate and real exchange rate, U.S. GDP growth, and world commodity prices) that explain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926785
This paper analyzes the impact of Covid-19 and uncooperative trade policies on world food markets. It quantifies the … percent on average. Escalating export restrictions would multiply the initial shock by a factor of 3, with world food prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833536
This paper uses simple analytical models to study high-income donor countries' willingness to pay to supply mitigation finance to low-income countries; how this depends on modality for finance supply; and how it changes as the global greenhouse gas mitigation agenda moves forward. The paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833615