and Eastern provinces that faced the brunt of the decades-long conflict remain disproportionately poor. To understand the …

This paper studies the performance of alternative prediction models for conflict. The analysis contrasts the … correlates of conflict to minimize the prediction loss function, and (2) an algorithm that chooses a set of thresholds for the … same variables, together with the number of breaches of thresholds that constitute a prediction of conflict, that minimize …

of violent conflict at the micro-level. The authors review existing conflict -- and violence-related survey … challenges associated with empirical work in conflict-affected areas?such as operationalizing a definition of conflict, using the … ethically sound manner?and propose ways to improve the usefulness of existing surveys to analyze conflict processes at the micro …

an empirical mapping of local conflict and justice and pointers to possible policy reforms. It suggests a number of …

One-fifth of the world's population lives in countries affected by fragility, violence and conflict, impeding long …

always been guided by two basic principles: representative democracy, and a proper division of power between national and … drawn to centralized democracy, as national elites may prefer to centralize power around themselves. America's successful …

This paper assesses the link between democracy and inequality. Inequality is measured at the cohort level with pseudo …-panel data built from nine Latin American countries' household surveys (1995-2009, biannual). Democracy is measured as a stock …-run historical patterns in the degree of democracy relate to income inequality. However, this relationship is non …

rents extracted in any given high-income democracy context. Specifically, the paper formally models how: (1) variation in …