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trends scenario. Finally, rebalancing reduces the prevalence of poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa compared with the isolated … negative effects of China's slowdown, which slightly increase the incidence of poverty. Overall, China's slowdown and … poverty, but the extent of this varies by country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969296
compared with realized poverty estimates. The micro-simulation model performs well in predicting poverty dynamics during 2009 …The continued poverty impact of the financial crisis in Serbia is difficult to establish beyond 2010 because of the … lack of survey data. This paper tackles this difficulty. It uses a micro-simulation approach that accounts for a key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973186
impact in developing countries. This paper uses a micro-simulation approach to assess the poverty and distributional effects … of the crisis in the Philippines. The authors find increases in both the level and the depth of aggregate poverty. Income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976567
Measuring the poverty and distributional impact of the global crisis for developing countries is not easy, given the … addressing questions like who are being affected by the crisis and by how much, and who are vulnerable to falling into poverty if … the crisis deepens? This paper develops a simple micro-simulation method, modifying models from existing economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976632
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089249
Suppose that all people in the world are allocated only two characteristics: country where they live and social class within that country. Assume further that there is no migration. We show that 90 percent of variability in people's global income position (percentile in world income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050056
. The results are fed into a detailed household survey-based micro-simulation model to assess impacts on poverty and income … although it would still help reduce rural poverty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974230
The present study uses the GIDD, a CGE-microsimulation model for Global Income Distribution Dynamics, to understand the … assumptions, there will be a reduction in global income inequality by 2030. This potential reduction can be fully accounted for by … suggest that the mid-1990s could be seen as a turning point after which global inequality began showing a negative tendency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012746757
The authors use a computable general equilibrium model to estimate the marginal cost of public funds (MCF) for taxes on domestic goods, exports, imports, capital, and labor in 38 African countries. The resulting MCF estimates provide directions for tax reform in Africa. The authors investigate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063029
The authors apply stochastic simulation methods to assess debt sustainability in emerging market economies and provide probability measures for projections of the external and public debt burden over the medium term. The vulnerability of public debt to adverse shocks is determined by a number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059916