the world urgently need to see the big picture if they are to deal with the specific challenges and opportunities they …

The paper introduces a Bayesian cross-entropy forecast (BCEF) procedure to assess the variance and skewness in density … surveys on expectations and implied statistics of predictive models. The BCEF procedure is applied to produce world GDP growth …

estimates indicate that forecast uncertainty has increased since January 2016, while the balance of risks to global growth has …

, and using health workforce data (1990-2013) for 165 countries from the World Health Organization's Global Health … estimated by the World Health Organization to achieve essential health coverage. The model predicts that by 2030 global demand …

As the world approaches the target year of the Millennium Development Goals and passes into the new, post-2015 era, the … feasible is that? For most of the developing world, the goal seems ambitious, yet achievable -- but what about the prospects … scenario produces a forecast of a 20 percent extreme poverty rate for this group of countries. The paper then explores the …

The world economy has experienced four global recessions over the past seven decades: in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009 … internationally, with severe economic and financial disruptions in many countries around the world. The 2009 global recession, set off …

Since the Global Financial Crisis, world trade growth has been subdued and lagging slightly behind growth of gross … trade-income relationship, and then investigates its consequences for economic growth. On the demand side, sluggish world …