Showing 1 - 10 of 602
The paper introduces a Bayesian cross-entropy forecast (BCEF) procedure to assess the variance and skewness in density … surveys on expectations and implied statistics of predictive models. The BCEF procedure is applied to produce world GDP growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901276
estimates indicate that forecast uncertainty has increased since January 2016, while the balance of risks to global growth has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968631
This paper sheds light on an implicit dimension of the climate policy debate: the extent to which supply-side response (emission-reducing energy technologies) may substitute for the transformation of consumption behavior and thus help get around the political difficulties surrounding such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976548
A country's productive structure and competitiveness are harbingers of growth. Growth is a dynamic process based on capabilities that are difficult to define and measure across countries. This paper uses a global measure of fitness (or complexity-weighted diversity of production) as a method to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951516
for policy-making purposes. The paper explores the implications of these findings for the World Bank's classification of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954325
This study assesses the accuracy of time-series econometric methods in forecasting electricity demand in developing countries. The analysis of historical time series for 106 developing countries over 1960-2012 demonstrates that econometric forecasts are highly accurate for the majority of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962315
This study develops an end-use energy demand analysis model for Romania to project energy demand by sector and end-use for 2015-50. The study finds that Romania's energy demand in 2050 would be 34 percent higher than the level in 2013. The industry sector wouldbe the largest final...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968756
controls in the migrant-destination countries pose risks to the forecasts. Much remains to be done to improve the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976233
the world urgently need to see the big picture if they are to deal with the specific challenges and opportunities they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973755
, and using health workforce data (1990-2013) for 165 countries from the World Health Organization's Global Health … estimated by the World Health Organization to achieve essential health coverage. The model predicts that by 2030 global demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968212