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Rapid growth among the major emerging markets over the past 20 years has boosted global demand for commodities. The seven largest emerging markets accounted for almost all the increase in global consumption of metals, and two-thirds of the increase in energy consumption over this period. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912334
(the VIX, the U.S. real interest rate and real exchange rate, U.S. GDP growth, and world commodity prices) that explain … common factors exhibits a "globalization" stage up to 2007, during which they acquire growing importance, followed by a phase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926785
This paper revisits and expands the evidence on the impact of trade shocks on intra-state conflict with a large sample of developing countries in the 1960-2010 period. The results suggest that increases in the prices of a country's exported commodities raise the country's risk of civil conflict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972438
Financial globalization, defined as global linkages through cross-border financial flows, has become increasingly … relevant for emerging markets as they integrate financially with the rest of the world. This paper argues that, because of the … way it is often measured, it has also led to the misperception that financial globalization in emerging markets has been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068213
Financial globalization, defined as global linkages through cross-border financial flows, has become increasingly … relevant for emerging markets as they integrate financially with the rest of the world. This paper argues that, because of the … way it is often measured, it has also led to the misperception that financial globalization in emerging markets has been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976061
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the degree of co-movement among the nominal price returns of 11 major energy, agricultural and food commodities based on monthly data between 1970 and 2013. A uniform-spacings testing approach, a multivariate dynamic conditional correlation model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973288
It is becoming increasingly apparent that the post-2004, across-the-board, commodity price increases, which initially appeared to be a spike similar to the ones experienced during the early 1950s (Korean War) and the 1970s (oil crises), have a more permanent character. From 1997-2004 to 2005-12...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974382
In recent years, fluctuations in such macroeconomic variables as interest rates and exchange rates appear to have significantly affected primary commodity prices. This paper studies the relationship between commodity prices and various macroeconomic variables. It focuses particularly on interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012746953
This paper examines the effect of crude oil prices on the prices of 35 internationally traded primary commodities for the 1960-2005 period. It finds that the pass-through of crude oil price changes to the overall non-energy commodity index is 0.16. At a more disaggregated level, the fertilizer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012747627
Since the 1970s, the world has embarked on a new financial globalization era. Cross-country capital flows have … significantly increased in developed and developing countries. However, the characteristics of financial globalization differ from … financial globalization (such as additional funding, broad diversification, and deeper financial systems), the positive effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947853