Showing 1 - 10 of 704
This paper presents a comprehensive cross-country database of fiscal space, broadly defined as the availability of budgetary resources for a government to service its financial obligations. The database covers up to 200 countries over the period 1990-2016, and includes 28 indicators of fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950618
Previous sharp oil price declines have been accompanied by elevated ex post volatility. In contrast, volatility was much less elevated during the oil price crash in 2014/15. This paper provides evidence that oil prices declined in a relatively measured manner during 2014/15, with dispersion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970942
This paper investigates the adverse effects of oil price volatility on economic activity and the extent to which countries can hedge against such effects by using renewable energy. By considering the Realized Volatility of oil prices, rather than following the standard approach of considering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973994
are especially strong for oil importers with relatively energy-intensive manufacturing and trade, such as India and China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974209
Between 1999 and 2008, world oil prices more than quadrupled in real terms. For oil importers, vulnerability to oil … domestic product. Oil intensity fell in more than half the countries in every income group and in every region of the world … pass-through to consumers of increases in world prices of gasoline, diesel, kerosene, and liquefied petroleum gas between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974899
This paper examines the effect of crude oil prices on the prices of 35 internationally traded primary commodities for the 1960-2005 period. It finds that the pass-through of crude oil price changes to the overall non-energy commodity index is 0.16. At a more disaggregated level, the fertilizer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012747627
This paper investigates how the devolution of oil windfalls affects the likelihood of political violence. It shows that transferring large shares of oil wealth can prevent conflict, while transferring small shares can trigger it. Among the different transfer schemes, fiscal transfers (to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967487
and their connectivity to each other and the rest of the world. Aggregate real income gains from the Belt Road Initiative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888981
This is a background paper to the 2014 World Development Report. Risk is inherent to the pursuit of opportunity. This … value chains. First, it examines the risk-sharing mechanisms that firms provide from the national and global perspectives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973286
Which cities have the highest risk of human and economic losses due to natural hazards? And how will urban exposure to … major hazards change over the coming decades? This paper develops a global urban disaster risk index that evaluates the … components of this risk measure are urban hazard characteristics, exposure, and vulnerability. For earthquakes, cyclones, floods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974220