Showing 1 - 10 of 506
Phillips curve, the sum of coefficients associated with expected inflation is far beyond unity, whatever measure of expected … inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is our suggestion, one … estimates the unemployment rate that is compatible with a tolerable inflation rate of say 2 percent following roughly the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297970
decisions with regard to inflation expectations of financial market experts for the euro area from February 1999 to June 2007 … of inflation expectations formation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297941
future interest rate, inflation, and output to discover the sources of individual interest rate forecast errors. Based on a …. However, although experts tend to overestimate the impact of inflation on future interest rates, perceptions of monetary … improved communication has reduced disagreement over the ECB's response to expected inflation during the financial crisis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300740
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical instrument, suitable for economic policy: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297287
Central bank surveys frequently elicit households' probabilistic beliefs about future inflation. However, most … household surveys use a response scale that is tailored towards low-inflation regimes. Using data from a randomized controlled … trial included in the Bundesbank Online Panel Households, we show (i) that keeping the original scale in high-inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476297
This paper analyses the impact of the monetary regime change from the Bundesbank to the ECB in 1999 on inflation … inflation, inflation expectations and forecast errors. The econometric investigation is based on a flexible specification of … expectation formation which allows both for rational and adaptive elements. Data on inflation expectations originate from the ZEW …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297316
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical instrument, suitable for economic policy: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005097479
Phillips curve, the sum of coefficients associated with expected inflation is far beyond unity, whatever measure of expected … inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is our suggestion, one … estimates the unemployment rate that is compatible with a tolerable inflation rate of say 2 percent following roughly the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005098258
In this analysis, the informational content of central bank rhetoric is assessed based on the experience with the ECB since 1999. Among the ECB?s communication channels we focus on the monthly press conferences. Based on a counting of certain signal words we construct a wording indicator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297482
We study the pass-through of exchange rate changes to consumer prices for the euro area by estimating vector error correction models for Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain. Using the weights of the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) we compute a weighted average of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298101