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Die Psychologie irrationaler Wirtschaftspolitik am Beispiel des Reformstaus

Heinemann, Friedrich - 2000

Psychologische Studien belegen vielfältige Abweichungen menschlicher Denk- und Verhaltensweisen von den üblichen Rationalitätsannahmen ökonomischer Modelle. Die traditionelle Ökonomie begegnet diesen Hinweisen begrenzter Rationalität mit Zurückhaltung, auch wenn derartige Ansätze...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444514

The EMU consolidation game - or: does 3.0 really mean 3.0?

Heinemann, Friedrich - 1998

Within the economic profession, it is a widely held view that the fiscal criteria of the Maastricht treaty are arbitrary numbers without economic foundation. Much of this criticism seems to overlook an important aspect - the strategic dimension of the criteria. This paper focuses on one...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441024

Die Theorie der optimalen Währungsräume und die politische Reformfähigkeit : ein vernachlässigtes Kriterium

Heinemann, Friedrich - 1998

In diesem Beitrag wird neben einem kurzen Überblick über die Argumentationsweise und Probleme der Theorie optimaler … vor allem der Lohnflexibilität, aus. Aus dieser Erweiterung der Theorie der optimalen Währungsräume resultiert Skepsis …In this paper, a short survey is given on the contents and some problems of the theory of optimal currency areas. In …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441036

EMU and fiscal discipline : the end of the depreciation threat

Heinemann, Friedrich - 1998

Are the characteristics of the exchange rate regime relevant for the degree of fiscal discipline? What are the conclusions for fiscal behavior in Europe after the transition to EMU? These are the central questions that are analyzed in this paper from a theoretical point of view. After a general...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441669

Vote buying or (political) business (cycles) as usual?

Aidt, Toke; Asatryan, Zareh; Badalyan, Lusine; … - 2015

We provide new evidence on the short-run effect of elections on monetary aggregates. We study month-to-month fluctuations in the growth rate of M1 in a sample of 85 low and middle income democracies from 1975 to 2009. The evidence shows an increase in the growth rate of M1 during election months...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491768

The generalized Roy model and the cost-benefit analysis of social programs

Eisenhauer, Philipp; Heckman, James J.; Vytlacil, Edward - 2014

The literature on treatment effects focuses on gross benefits from program participation. We extend this literature by developing conditions under which it is possible to identify parameters measuring the cost and net surplus from program participation. Using the generalized Roy model, we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424826

Estimation of dynamic discrete choice models by maximum likelihood and the simulated method of moments

Eisenhauer, Philipp; Heckman, James J. - 2014

We compare the performance of maximum likelihood (ML) and simulated method of moments (SMM) estimation for dynamic discrete choice models. We construct and estimate a simplified dynamic structural model of education that captures some basic features of educational choices in the United States in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424834

Do fiscal rules constrain fiscal policy? : a meta-regression-analysis

Heinemann, Friedrich; Moessinger, Marc-Daniel; Yeter, … - 2016

We implement a meta-regression-analysis for the budgetary impact of numerical fiscal rules. Based on 30 studies published in the last decade, we offer a consensus estimate with respect to the level of statistical significance, provide suggestive evidence for the effect size, and identify study...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444762

Public deficits and borrowing costs : the missing half of market discipline

Heinemann, Friedrich; Winschel, Viktor - 2001

EMU driven interest rate convergence has led to a significant reduction of borrowing costs for some European governments in the second half of the nineties. The paper deals with the possible consequences for deficit behaviour. Although the impact of interest rates on deficits is a crucial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445942

Direct democracy and local public finances under cooperative federalism

Asatryan, Zareh; Baskaran, Thushyanthan; Grigoriadis, … - 2013

This paper exploits the introduction of the right of referenda at the local level in the German state of Bavaria in 1995 to study the fiscal effects of direct democracy. In the first part of the paper, we establish the relationship between referenda activity and fiscal performance by using a new...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009762810