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Vor dem Hintergrund des steigenden Kostendrucks und eines Rekorddefizits der gesetzlichen Pflegeversicherung von 400 Mio. - in 2002 setzt die Rürup-Kommission in ihren Reformplänen für die gesetzliche Pflegeversicherung unter anderem auf die Erprobung so genannter personengebundener...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448737
This paper suggests that exchange rates are related to economic fundamentals over medium-term horizons, such as a month or longer. We find from a large panel of individual professionals' forecasts that good exchange rate forecasts benefit from the proper understanding of fundamentals,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009374424
(MIV) für verschiedene Technologien, Fahrsituationen und alle Regionen in Deutschland berechnet. Dabei ist das Ziel der …) generiert. Die wichtigsten Faktoren für diese hohen regionalen Unterschiede sind der vorherrschende Südwestwind in Deutschland … Bevölkerungsdichte in der Fläche über Deutschland und weite Teile Europas. Die Untersuchung wird abgerundet durch die Abschätzung der …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445161
-term forecasting the production function approachin terms of predictive performance. For this purpose, a forecast evaluation for the … three to five years ahead predictions of GDP growth for the individual G7 countries is conducted. To carry out the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003582516
Business cycles reflect changes over time in the amount of trade between individuals. In this paper we show that incorporating explicitly intra-temporal gains from trade between individuals into a macroeconomic model can provide new insight into the potential mechanisms driving economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424712
realizations. Moderate filters based on forecast accuracy over short rolling windows are somewhat successful in improving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010511233
This paper shows that earnings losses after unemployment increase with age. First, older employees start out with relatively high earnings in comparison to employees without employment interruptions several years before the non-employment spell. This earnings advantage turns into a strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003728393
Labour market reforms that are designed to stimulate labour supply at the lower end of the wage distribution can never be precisely restricted to affect only the target group. Spillovers to and feedback from other segments of the labour market are unavoidable and may counteract the direct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003728424
Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel for the years 2000 to 2006 we analyze the determinants and labor market effects of educational dropout. In addition to classical variables like family background and occupation, we examine noncognitive skills and Internet use. Noncognitive skills...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003728547
This paper provides firm-level evidence for the relationship between the age structure of the workforce and the adoption of new or significantly improved technologies in service sector firms. Furthermore, it closes a research gap by analyzing the joint impact of the age of the workforce and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003728572