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architecture of the euro area. The introduction of an insolvency procedure for sovereigns faces a dilemma: In the foreseeable … blueprints for sovereign insolvency procedures in the euro area and develops a “Viable Insolvency Procedure for Sovereigns” (VIPS … transition towards the new regime. The VIPS proposal comprises two pillars: An insolvency procedure for the long run and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394484
The recent financial and sovereign debt crises around the world have sparked a growing literature on models and empirical estimates of defaultable debt. Frequently households and firms come under default threat, local governments can default, and recently sovereign default threats were eminent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498572
We analyze the feedback mechanisms between economic downturns and financial stress for several euro area countries. Our study employs newly constructed financial condition indices that incorporate banking variables extensively. We apply a non-linear Vector Smooth Transition Autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238376
We analyze the feedback mechanisms between economic downturns and financial stress for euro area countries. Our study employs newly constructed financial condition indices that incorporate extensively banking variables. We apply a nonlinear Vector Smooth Transition Autoregressive (VSTAR) model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009792964
We analyze the feedback mechanisms between economic downturns and financial stress for several euro area countries. Our study employs newly constructed financial condition indices that incorporate banking variables extensively. We apply a non-linear Vector Smooth Transition Autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010489891
In summer 2011, elevated sovereign risk in Eurozone peripheral countries increased the solvency risk of Eurozone banks … public funds to increase their exposure to risky domestic debt, so that when solvency risk in the Eurozone worsened the run … of private short-term investors from Eurozone banks intensified. (ii) In contrast, ECB’s announcement of being a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436391
The determinants of transitions between different states of financial distress are analyzed using two versions of Markov chain models: a multinomial logit model without random effects and a multinomial logit model capturing such unobservable factors. The empirical analysis is based on a panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445915
insurance and a sovereign insolvency procedure are no contradiction but, on the contrary, mutually enforcing: An effective … fiscal insurance helps to limit the stability risks involved in the implementation of an insolvency regime for sovereigns …. And vice versa, a well-defined insolvency procedure reduces the danger that a fiscal capacity motivated as an insurance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300749
The confidence that financial markets are able to discipline the debt behaviour of governments is not very high. Therefore, the Stability and Growth Pact has been implemented as an institutional constraint to substitute for the market mechanism. With the weakening of the Pact, market discipline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003356981
The aim of this paper is to assess the dimension of factors and shocks that drive financial conditions, and in particular financial stress in the euro area. A second aim is to construct summary indices on the conditions and level of stress in financial markets with the aid of a dynamic factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010204040