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conventional trade cost channel and trade effects deriving from “implicit currency misalignment”. Econometric estimation reveals … that the currency misalignment channel exerts a significant trade effect on bilateral exports. We retrieve country specific …
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Following the well-known approach by Adler and Dumas (1984) we evaluate the foreign exchange rate exposure of nations. Results based on data from 27 countries show that national foreign exchange rate exposures are significantly related to the current trade balance variables of corresponding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003412063
-price monetary model and the Mundell-Fleming model. These models are the theoretical basis for the estimation of latent structural …
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This paper suggests that exchange rates are related to economic fundamentals over medium-term horizons, such as a month or longer. We find from a large panel of individual professionals' forecasts that good exchange rate forecasts benefit from the proper understanding of fundamentals,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009374424
This paper provides novel evidence on exchange rate expectations of both chartists and fundamentalists separately. These groups indeed form expectations differently. Chartists change their expectations more often; however, all professionals' expectations vary considerably as they generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009521123
leaves the central bank helpless to combat future deflation arising out of actual currency appreciation, as with the earlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003328095
The British foreign exchange reserves decreased by 40 percent during the period August 1996-December 1999 although the Pound Sterling is considered a floating exchange rate since it left the EMS in 1992. Since changes in the level of foreign exchange reserves are usually taken as indicators for...
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