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In an a priori view, it is usually assumed that the business cycle of manufacturing industries leads the business cycle of the service sector. This seems to be even more plausible for the relationship between business-related services, whose high growth rates in recent years were largely due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442943
The study analyses the business cycles of the G7 countries in a structural vector autoregression(SVAR) framework comprising output, nominal interest rate and inflation. Common and country-specific supply, demand and nominal shocks of each G7 country are identified, and the corresponding shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003824053
"gains from trade" approach can easily explain why changes in perceptions about the future (including "news" about the future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424712
news shocks. Thereby, the correlation coefficient between news shocks of a short-run identification scheme and technology … shocks of a long-run identification scheme in the VAR framework measures the extent to which news incorporated into forward … modelers as well as policy-makers, the ability of such models to recuperate structural shocks in general and news shocks in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225546
the role of anticipated technology-news-shocks in business cycle fluctuations. We deal with this controversy and … investigate (i) the extent to thich two prominent structural VAR approaches can be usefull in recuperating news shock dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225547
The path of output prior to the financial and economic crisis turned out to be not sustainable and lower than previously estimated in some European crisis countries. Specifically, the output gaps have been underestimated (and inversely potential output overestimated) before the recent crisis. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416360
Recent research suggests that employment in young firms is more negatively impacted during economic downturns than employment in incumbent firms. This questions the effectiveness of policies that promote entrepreneurship to fight crises. We complement prior research that is mostly based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011567399
Information economics has emerged as the primary theoretical lens for framing financing decisions in firm R&D investment. Successful outcomes of R&D projects are either ex-ante impossible to predict or the information is asymmetrically distributed between inventors and investors. As a result,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009270085
We propose a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach to estimate the impact of incentives on cost reduction. We show theoretically, and estimate empirically, that German electricity distribution system operators (DSOs) pile up more costs in the year used to determine future prices when subject...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011971656
We propose a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach to estimate the impact of incentives on cost reduction. We show theoretically, and estimate empirically, that German electricity distribution system operators (DSOs) incur higher costs when subject to a lower-powered regulation mechanism. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011795225