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The social long-term care insurance in Germany : origin, situation, threats, and perspectives
Heinicke, Katrin; Thomsen, Stephan L. - 2010
This paper describes the Social Long-Term Care Insurance (SLTCI) in Germany. Based on a short review of the history of … long-term care organization and the preceding laws in Germany, the implementation of the SLTCI as a self-standing pillar … within the system of social insurances in Germany and its set-up with regard to eligibility criteria, service provision and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003941704
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Quasi-Monte Carlo methods in stochastic simulations : an application to fiscal policy simulations using an aggregate disequilibrium model of the West German economy 1960-1994
Franz, Wolfgang; Göggelmann, Klaus; Schellhorn, Martin; … - 1998
Different stochastic simulation methods are used in order to check the robustness of the outcome of policy simulations with a macroeconometric model. A macroeconometric disequilibriummodel of the West German economy is used to analyze a reform proposal for the tax system. The model was estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441040
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Employment and wage effects of social security financing : an empirical analysis of the West German experience and some policy simulations
Steiner, Viktor - 1996
whether the peculiar OECD results for Germany on the incidence of social security contributions and taxes also hold up within … in Germany. The main result of the paper is that there is in fact a positive short-run employment effect of a revenue …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439693
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Individual exchange rate forecasts and expected fundamentals
Dick, Christian D.; MacDonald, Ronald; Menkhoff, Lukas - 2011
This paper suggests that exchange rates are related to economic fundamentals over medium-term horizons, such as a month or longer. We find from a large panel of individual professionals' forecasts that good exchange rate forecasts benefit from the proper understanding of fundamentals,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009374424
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Die externen Luftverschmutzungskosten des motorisierten Individualverkehrs in Deutschland : ein regionaler Vergleich
Weinreich, Sigurd - 2000
(MIV) für verschiedene Technologien, Fahrsituationen und alle Regionen in Deutschland berechnet. Dabei ist das Ziel der …) generiert. Die wichtigsten Faktoren für diese hohen regionalen Unterschiede sind der vorherrschende Südwestwind in Deutschland … Bevölkerungsdichte in der Fläche über Deutschland und weite Teile Europas. Die Untersuchung wird abgerundet durch die Abschätzung der …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445161
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Idiosyncratic risk, aggregate risk, and the welfare effects of social security
Harenberg, Daniel; Ludwig, Alexander - 2018 - This version: December 1, 2017
We ask whether a pay-as-you-go financed social security system is welfare improving in an economy with idiosyncratic productivity and aggregate business cycle risk. We show analytically that the whole welfare benefit from joint insurance against both risks is greater than the sum of benefits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011816319
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Social security strategies and redistributive effects in European social transfer systems
Kraus, Margit - 2000
This paper evaluates the linkage between social security strategies and redistributive effects in EU social transfer systems. It is argued that the various European systems produce different patterns of redistribution that may be explained by the adoption of different mixes of social security...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444890
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Projecting the medium-term : outcomes and errors for GDP growth
Kappler, Marcus (contributor) - 2007
-term forecasting the production function approachin terms of predictive performance. For this purpose, a forecast evaluation for the … three to five years ahead predictions of GDP growth for the individual G7 countries is conducted. To carry out the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003582516
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A gains from trade perspective on macroeconomic fluctuations
Beaudry, Paul; Portier, Franck - 2012
Business cycles reflect changes over time in the amount of trade between individuals. In this paper we show that incorporating explicitly intra-temporal gains from trade between individuals into a macroeconomic model can provide new insight into the potential mechanisms driving economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424712
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Forecaster overconfidence and market survey performance
Deaves, Richard; Lei, Jin; Schröder, Michael - 2015
realizations. Moderate filters based on forecast accuracy over short rolling windows are somewhat successful in improving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010511233