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model is used to assess this development. In particular, estimation results for investment and employment adjustment after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443447
unification. Our paper presents results from the estimation of a macroeconometric disequilibrium model formerly developed for West …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443482
modelling approach and estimation results for the trade submodels are presented in some detail and simmulation results for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444754
Phillips curve, the sum of coefficients associated with expected inflation is far beyond unity, whatever measure of expected … inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is our suggestion, one … estimates the unemployment rate that is compatible with a tolerable inflation rate of say 2 percent following roughly the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003607638
potential output overestimated) before the recent crisis. It is fair to say that the employed estimation techniques failed to … insignificant relation between inflation and the output gap or unemployment gap, which questions the adequacy of the Phillips curve … into account in conventional methods for the estimation of potential output and the output gap. Since both, potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416360
This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003728591
applying an instrumental variable estimation approach. -- Unemployment ; institutions ; labor and product markets ; model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008652532
-assisted personal interviewing. We show that Bayesian estimation of a multinomial probit model with a full covariance matrix is feasible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009510145
Following the ambiguous results in the literature aimed at understanding the empirical link between fiscal federalism and economic growth, this paper revisits the question using a Bayesian Model Averaging approach. The analysis suggests that the failure to appropriately account for model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009777597
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical instrument, suitable for economic policy: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448601