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Following the well-known approach by Adler and Dumas (1984) we evaluate the foreign exchange rate exposure of nations. Results based on data from 27 countries show that national foreign exchange rate exposures are significantly related to the current trade balance variables of corresponding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003412063
China or Japan, has no predictable effect on its trade surplus. Currency appreciation by the creditor country will slow its …-growth and low-growth economies, as between Japan and the U.S. from in 1950 to 1971 and China and the U.S. from 1994 to 2005 … growth. The qualified case for China moving toward greater flexibility in the form of a very narrow band for the yuan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003114252
conventional trade cost channel and trade effects deriving from “implicit currency misalignment”. Econometric estimation reveals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961504
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008933713
This paper suggests that exchange rates are related to economic fundamentals over medium-term horizons, such as a month or longer. We find from a large panel of individual professionals' forecasts that good exchange rate forecasts benefit from the proper understanding of fundamentals,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009374424
-price monetary model and the Mundell-Fleming model. These models are the theoretical basis for the estimation of latent structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442397
This paper provides novel evidence on exchange rate expectations of both chartists and fundamentalists separately. These groups indeed form expectations differently. Chartists change their expectations more often; however, all professionals' expectations vary considerably as they generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009521123
For creditor countries on the periphery of the dollar standard such as China with current account surpluses, foreign … the (incipient) deflation that China now faces. It could create a zero-interest liquidity trap in financial markets that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003328095
The Kyoto Protocol marks a break-through in global warming mitigation policies as it sets legally binding emissions targets for major emitting regions. However, realisation of the Protocol depends on the clarification of several issues one of which is the permissible scope of international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443241
The British foreign exchange reserves decreased by 40 percent during the period August 1996-December 1999 although the Pound Sterling is considered a floating exchange rate since it left the EMS in 1992. Since changes in the level of foreign exchange reserves are usually taken as indicators for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445032