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potential output overestimated) before the recent crisis. It is fair to say that the employed estimation techniques failed to … into account in conventional methods for the estimation of potential output and the output gap. Since both, potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416360
This paper treats the question to what extent globalization trends restrict a countryspecific regulation policy in industrial countries. The empirical analysis makes use of recently collected regulation indicators for four policy fields: financial market, product markets, labour markets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003301116
As a group, market forecasters are egregiously overconfident. In conformity to the dynamic model of overconfidence of Gervais and Odean (2001), successful forecasters become more overconfident. What’s more, more experienced forecasters have learned to be overconfident,ʺ and hence are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003225303
The paper analyses the potential impact of stock market developments on lending behaviour from different perspectives. First we scrutinize the impact of stock market movements on the banks’ and on the borrowers’ balance sheets. Subsequently we estimate aggregate credit supply and demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003268547
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001701684
A growing literature investigates how firms' innovation input reacts to changes in the business cycle. However, so far there is no evidence whether there is cyclicality in the effects of innovation on firm performance as well. In this paper, we investigate the employment effects of innovations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563081
In an a priori view, it is usually assumed that the business cycle of manufacturing industries leads the business cycle of the service sector. This seems to be even more plausible for the relationship between business-related services, whose high growth rates in recent years were largely due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442943
This paper tests the random walk hypothesis and market efficiency for twelve emerging as well as for four developed securitized real estate markets from 1992 to 2009. Random walk properties of equity prices influence return dynamics, and market efficiency is often considered an essential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969878
The paper extends the evidence on the factors relevant for pricing stocks in emerging markets. While previous literature focused on Latin American and Asian developing markets, Central and Eastern European markets remain under-researched. By focusing on the Polish stock market, we aim to fill in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008660508
This study focuses on the diversification benefits of the most developed equity markets of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). To evaluate these benefits of diversification we use so-called spanning tests based on a stochastic discount factor approach and estimated by General Methods of Moments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444904