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Hedging langfristiger Lieferverpflichtungen mit kurzfristigen Futures : möglich oder unmöglich?
Bühler, Wolfgang; Korn, Olaf - 1998
Im Laufe des Jahres 1993 war die Metallgesellschaft Refining & Marketing (MGRM), eine US-amerikanische Tochtergesellschaft der Metallgesellschaft AG, in großem Umfang die Verpflichtung eingegangen, langfristig Öl zu Festpreisen zu liefern. Das dadurch entstehende Preisrisiko sollte über...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441448
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Backwardation and normal backwardation in energy futures markets : with an application to Metallgesellschaft's short-dated rollover hedging of long-term contracts
Charupat, Narat; Deaves, Richard - 2002
We show that, since the inception of energy futures markets, prices have on average exhibited backwardation. Normal backwardation has also been the norm, but, because of the low power of the standard tests, most researchers have concluded that the unbiased expectations model cannot be rejected....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447648
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Returns and volatility of eurozone energy stocks
Oberndorfer, Ulrich (contributor) - 2008
This paper constitutes a first analysis on stock returns and stock return volatility of energy corporations from the … European utilities, they lead to an appreciation of oil and gas stocks. Most importantly, we show that oil market volatility … negatively affects European oil and gas stocks. In contrast, energy stock volatility is not driven by volatility of the resource …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003671239
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Oil and unemployment in Germany
Löschel, Andreas (contributor);  … - 2009
In this paper, we analyze oil price impacts on unemployment for Germany. Firstly, we survey theoretical and empirical literature on the oil-unemployment relationship and relate them to the German case. Secondly, we illustrate this issue within the framework of a vector autoregression (VAR)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003806166
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The empirical assessment of technology differences : comparing the comparable
Frondel, Manuel; Schmidt, Christoph M. - 2002
This paper compares technologies across space and time on the basis of factual and counterfactual substitution elasticities and argues that differences in estimated substitution elasticities should be decomposed into two counterfactual components. While the first component is designed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447707
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A mean variance king? : creation and resolution of uncertainty under the employment report's reign
Hautsch, Nikolaus; Hess, Dieter - 2001
differences of opinion is left, and hence volatility is decreased. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446937
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International stock return predictability under model uncertainty
Schrimpf, Andreas (contributor) - 2008
This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003728591
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Wie genau sind die Konjunkturprognosen der Institute für Deutschland?
Kappler, Marcus (contributor) - 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003273116
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Unternehmens- versus Analystenbefragungen : zum Prognosegehalt von ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen
Hüfner, Felix; Schröder, Michael - 2001
In der vorliegenden Arbeit untersuchen wir die Eignung der ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und der ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen als Frühindikatoren für die deutsche Industrieproduktion. Anhand von Granger-Kausalitätstests wird gezeigt, dass die auf Umfragen unter Finanzanalysten basierenden...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445667
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Forecasting economic activity in Germany : how useful are sentiment indicators?
Hüfner, Felix; Schröder, Michael - 2002
We analyze four economic sentiment indicators for the German economy regarding their ability to forecast economic activity. Using cross correlations and Granger causality tests we find that the ifo business expectations (ifo), the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and the ZEW Indicator of Economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447594