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This paper examines the behaviour of stock and bond markets across four major international countries. The results confirm the view that same asset-cross country return correlations and spillovers increase over time. However, the same in not true with variance and covariance behaviour....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892340
Understanding the behaviour of the equity yield and its relation to the bond yield is important for portfolio managers and those engaged in modelling the interaction between asset classes. During the mid-1900s, the equity yield-which was previously greater than the bond yield-declined, while the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963922
Financial markets are expected to predict macroeconomic conditions as their movements depends upon expectations of future performance. However, existing evidence is mixed. We argue that this is because the stock return and term structure series typically used in studies fail to capture investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492412
This paper examines mean and volatility spillovers between the Turkish stock market with international stock, exchange rate and commodity markets. Our aim is not only to examine spillover behaviour with a large emerging market but also to examine cross — asset spillovers and how they vary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984077
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798502
Based on the present value model for stock prices, we utilise a pooled mean group estimator for panel ARDL cointegration to estimate the long-run relationship between G7 stock prices and macroeconomic variables over the last 40 years. We find a positive long-run relation between stock prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014001574
This paper examines the nature of the correlation between (real) equity and bond returns for the G7 markets. From the standpoint of established finance theory, we would expect a positive returns correlation, however, evidence has been presented to suggest that a negative correlation occurs over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014522949
Understanding the behaviour of the equity yield and its relation to the bond yield is important for portfolio managers and those engaged in modelling the interaction between asset classes. During the mid-1900s, the equity yield-which was previously greater than the bond yield-declined, while the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011996138
The nature of the relation between stock returns and the three monetary variables of interest rates (bond yields), inflation and money supply growth, while oft studied, is one that remains unclear. We argue that the nature of the relation changes over time, and this variation is largely driven...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201313
This paper examines the predictability of a range of international stock markets where we allow the presence of both local and global predictive factors. Recent research has argued that US returns have predictive power for international stock returns. We expand this line of research, following...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011559218