Chang, Chia-Lin; McAleer, Michael; Bruijn, Bert de; … - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, … - 2013
It is common practice to evaluate fixed-event forecast revisions in macroeconomics by regressing current forecast revisions on one-period lagged forecast revisions. Under weak-form (forecast) efficiency, the correlation between the current and one-period lagged revisions should be zero. The...