In this paper we extend an integrated closed-economy macrodynamic model to account for a large open economy in a currency area with fixed nominal exchange rates between the currencies. The major issues are the effectiveness and macrodynamic effects of monetary policy for countries in a pegged or...

Does the transmission of economic policies and structural shocks vary with the state of the economy? We answer this question using a strategy based on quantile regressions, which account for both endogeneous regressors and state-dependent parameters. An application to U.S. real activity and...

The consumption Euler equation is a building block of modern macro theory. Yet, the existing evidence on aggregate data offers very conflicting results for the estimates of the degree of forward-lookingness and interest rate semi-elasticity. The disappointing performance can be rationalized by...

In this paper, we reconsider the Foley model of Liquidity / Profit-Rate Cycles where such cycles are generated as bifurcations from initially attracting steady states if a parameter of the model crosses a critical value, for example the growth rate of money supply as in the Foley paper. We...

In this paper we survey, also for the general reader interested in the non-market cleaning approach to growth and fluctuations, the foundations, the core model and the general framework underlying our joint work on integrated disequilibrium models of monetary growth, drawing also on joint work...

In this paper we investigate, from the numerical perspective, the 18D core dynamics of a theoretical 39D representation of an applied disequilibium model of monetary growth of a small open economy. After considering the model from the viewpoint of national accounting, we provide a compact...

Almost half of American families did not adjust their consumption following receipt of the 2001 or 2008 tax rebates. Another 20 percent, with low income and more likely to rent, spent a small but significant amount. Households with large spending propensity held high levels of mortgage debt. The...

This paper estimates the impact on the US economy of four types of uncertainty about <i>(i)</i> government spending, <i>(ii)</i> tax changes, <i>(iii)</i> public debt sustainability and <i>(iv)</i> monetary policy. Following a one standard deviation shock, uncertainty about debt sustainability has the largest and most...

We reformulate and extend the standard AS-AD growth model of the Neoclassical Synthesis (Stage I) with its traditional microfoundations. The model still has an LM curve in the place of a Taylor interest rate rule, exhibits sticky wages as well as sticky prices, myopic perfect foresight of...

In this paper we introduce a small Keynesian model of economic growth which is centered around two advanced types of Phillips curves, one for money wages and one for prices, both being augmented by perfect myopic foresight and supplemented by a measure of the medium-term inflationary climate...