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We test the menu cost model of Ball and Mankiw (1994, 1995) on data from the inflation and deflation periods in Japan … during both inflation and deflation, is strongly supported. The data are less clear on, but does not reject, the hypothesis … that the parameter on the standard deviation changes sign between inflation and deflation periods. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957306
During the last decade most western economies have experienced large and unexpected fluctuations in consumption and savings. The purpose of this paper is to provide additional insights into the individual household's consumption decision and thereby increase the knowledge of what governs these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005669545
The classical definition of inflation refers to increasing the quantity of money in circulation. However, in everyday … language, inflation is seen rather through the effects of monetary expansion, i.e. increasing prices. Therefore, the term … “inflation” generates a semantic confusion, for which could be responsible the omnipresence of consumer price index (CPI) in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010965606
summarised as follows. (1) Historically, inflation persistence appears to have been the exception, rather than the rule, with … inflation estimated to have been highly persistent only during the period between the floating of the pound, in June 1972, and … the introduction of inflation targeting, in October 1992. Under inflation targeting, it exhibits some slight negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005343033
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706823
understanding of and expand research on this topic. Given the importance of the People’s Republic of China, Japan, and the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096824
Using firm-level survey data for the West German manufacturing sector, this paper revisits the technology-driven business cycle hypothesis for the case of aggregate investment. We construct a survey-based measure of technology shocks to gauge their contribution to short-run investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969200
Expectations matter for economic activity. To the extent that they are fundamentally unwarranted, they represent "undue optimism or pessimism" (Pigou, 1927). In this paper, we identify empirically the effect of undue optimism/pessism ("optimism shocks") on economic activity. In a first step, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986006
This paper provides a simple model of deleveraging that surfaces the contradictions inherent in neoliberal financialization and explains the pattern of US business cycles over the past thirty years. Deleveraging involves a two step correction. The first step is when a borrowing boom ends. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010854875