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On the causal relationship between trade-openness and government-size: evidence from OECD countries
Molana, Hassan; Montagna, Catia; Violato, Mara - In: International Journal of Public Policy 7 (2011) 4/5/6, pp. 226-249
The compensation hypothesis predicts a positive causation from international economic openness to the size of the public sector, as governments step in to perform a risk mitigating role to counterbalance the increasing exposure to external risk and the economic dislocations caused by growing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010670287
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Do Kondratieff waves exist? How time series techniques can help to solve the problem.
Metz, Rainer - In: Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and … 5 (2011) 3, pp. 205-238
Although the long-wave phenomenon has long been discussed in economic, social and political sciences, there is still highly controversial discussion about the methods of providing empirical evidence of such swings as regular cycles in economic time series. This article gives an overview about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293424
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Real Wage Cyclicality in Germany and the UK: New Results Using Panel Data
Peng, Fei; Siebert, W. Stanley - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2007
This paper compares the cyclical behaviour of male real wages in Germany and the UK using the German Socio-Economic Panel 1984-2002 and the British Household Panel Survey 1991-2004. We distinguish between job stayers (remaining in the same job), and within- and between-company job movers....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703499
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Signal Extraction and Forecasting of the UK Tourism Income Time Series. A Singular Spectrum Analysis Approach
Beneki, Christina; Eeckels, Bruno; Leon, Costas - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009
We present and apply the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA), a relatively new, non-parametric and data-driven method used for signal extraction (trends, seasonal and business cycle components) and forecasting of the UK tourism income. Our results show that SSA outperforms slightly SARIMA and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008567977
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Return and volatility spillovers: evidence from Indian exchange rates
Kumar, Manish - In: International Journal of Economics and Business Research 3 (2011) 4, pp. 371-387
This study examines the nature of interdependence, and return and volatility spillovers, for three Indian exchange rates: US dollar (USD), Euro and British Pound. We use the spillover index methodology of Diebold and Yilmaz (2009) to analyse precisely and independently the returns and volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352440
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The sovereign debt crisis - a transdisciplinary approach
Pilkington, Marc - In: International Journal of Pluralism and Economics Education 2 (2011) 4, pp. 369-397
We have chosen to adopt an interdisciplinary approach to debt, leading to a transdisciplinary analysis of sovereign debt. Disciplinary fields as varied as logic, accounting, finance, psychology, geopolitics, economics, statistics, ethics, rhetoric and political discourse analysis are mobilised...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010669854
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Modelling long-run energy consumption under model uncertainty
Humer, Stefan; Csereklyei, Z. - EcoMod Network - 2012
The causality between energy consumption and real income in developed countries has been a very vital research topic in recent years. Raising concerns about climate change and global warming increase the pressure on policy makers to take action against energy depletion. Unfortunately these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886612
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Le temps des ruptures. - 1986. - 158 S.
Lakehal, Mokhtar - nouv. éd
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000709950
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Are Non-Euro Area EU Countries Importing Low Inflation from the Euro Area?
Iossifov, Plamen; Podpiera, Jiri - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2014
are affected by the undershooting of the euro area inflation target. To shed light on this issue, we estimate an open …-economy, New Keynsian Phillips curve, in which we control for imported inflation. Regression results suggest that falling food and … energy prices have been the main disinflationary driver. But low core inflation in the euro area has also had a clear and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959481
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What Drives Inflation in the Major OECD Economies?
Moccero, Diego; Watanabe, Shingo; Cournède, Boris - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2011
This paper presents an empirical analysis of the determinants of inflation in the United States, Japan, the euro area … excluding the recent period of strong commodity prices point to inflation remaining low but positive, except in Japan where … and the United Kingdom, focusing on the role of resource utilisation, inflation expectations, inflation persistence and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009249779