public discussion of our empirical strategy and results has been somewhat muddled. Here, we attempt to clarify matters … in the debt-growth connection and thresholds evident in the data (absolutely central points that seem to have been lost …

In focusing on the 24 month window prior to the onset of the crisis, the criteria for ranking the indicators presented … in our related work does not distinguish between a signal given 12 months prior to the crisis and one given one month … prior to the crisis. In what follows we examine this issue, by tabulating for each of the monthly indicators the average …

to which a country is vulnerable. An application of the signals methodology to recent data also offered some insights as …

introduced in Kaminsky and Reinhart (1996) and applied to the out-of-sample data during January 1996- June 1997 in this section …

indicators. In particular, the sample size has been expanded by including 26 years worth of data for an additional five countries …

allowed us to estimate the likelihood of low to high globalization following a variety of shocks in crisis-prone emerging …

In this note, we attempt to place the question of how we got to the global financial crisis that began as the US …

Why are investors rushing to purchase US government securities when the US is the epicentre of the financial crisis … makers should bear in mind as they handle the crisis. …