This paper aims to estimate the equilibrium real exchange rate for the Brazilian economy. The equilibrium exchange rate is defined as the level of exchange that guarantees that the net foreign asset position is stable over time. An econometric model is estimated using cointegration techniques....

This paper aims to evaluate how public debt management in Brazil has affected its sustainability in the 1996-2007 period. In 2003 Brazilian public debt management changed the trade off between cost minimization and risk minimization emphasizing the first element. Using a Markov-Switching model...

This paper investigates the relationship between interest rate and volatility of real effective exchange rate in Brazil. Through a simultaneous multivariate GARCH model, which allows estimating equations for the mean and variance in a single stage, it was observed that: it’s not possible to...

This paper aims at assessing the effects of real exchange rate overvaluation over the export composition for developing countries in a time span of 1970-2004. For this intent, it is estimated an exchange rate overvaluation index by using panel cointegration techniques (Dynamic Ordinary Least...

This paper shows estimates of the optimal level of foreign reserves for Brazil between the first quarter of 1998 and the same trimester of 2008, by applying the Jeanne e Ranciére (2006) framework, using different scenarios. We also estimate the fiscal costs of holding this asset, as well as the...

This paper argues that the Brazilian economy went recently through a process of accelerated growth driven by exports and fixed capital formation. Although the pace of growth was more robust than in the 1990 decade, we can still see the presence of macroeconomic constraints to its continuation in...