Extreme value theory is the most scientific approach to an inherently difficult problem - predicting the possibility that an extreme event will occur. Broadly speaking, there are two kinds of models for extreme values. The first group of models are models for a distribution of normalized maximum...

The article deals with a typical phenomenon of financial time series - volatility. These time series usually embody intermittent periods of relative "calm" and quite high variability. A volatility modelling of time series is made with the help of special econometric volatility models which...