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Over the past few years, the Value at Risk indicator (VaR) has evolved, without doubt, into the most frequently used comprehensive tool for assessment of potential losses caused by adverse changes in market rates. However, the common models used for VaR assessment are based only on mid prices...
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Estimation of volatility of financial time series plays a crucial role in pricing derivatives. Volatility is often … estimated from historical data; however, it is well known that volatility varies in time. We propose a method to choose a … suitable length of historical data to estimate contemporary volatility. The method is based on adaptation of a procedure used …
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