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Estimation of volatility of financial time series plays a crucial role in pricing derivatives. Volatility is often … estimated from historical data; however, it is well known that volatility varies in time. We propose a method to choose a … suitable length of historical data to estimate contemporary volatility. The method is based on adaptation of a procedure used …
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The article summarizes the main points discussed at the seminar on The Nobel Prize Laureates, 2003, held by the Czech Economic Association in March 2004. The seminar featured two main speakers: Josef Arlt (University of Economics, Prague, and Charles University, Prague), who lectured on the work...
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The power-generation industry offers numerous opportunities to apply real options. This paper uses current empirical market data to estimate the value of flexibility in the Czech energy sector, which can serve to compare available technologies, and support various investment decisions. The model...
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This paper begins with a description of simple select models of inflation and their ability to fit the data. The paper in turn measures the stability of particular parsimonious models. One-step forecast tests are applied, which establish the instability of the money demand model compared with...
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