A number of central banks publish their own business conditions survey based on non-random sampling methods. The results of these surveys influence monetary policy decisions and thus affect expectations in financial markets. To date, however, no one has computed the statistical accuracy of these...

A number of central banks publish their own business conditions survey based on non-random sampling methods. The results of these surveys influence monetary policy decisions and thus affect expectations in financial markets. To date, however, no one has computed the statistical accuracy of these...

As part of a new regular series, the market research agency NOP undertook a survey of public attitudes to inflation for the Bank of England in February. The results show that, given a choice between higher interest rates or higher inflation, four times as many people would prefer interest rates...

This paper uses data on German government bond futures options to examine the behaviour of market expectations around monetary policy actions of the European Central Bank (ECB). In particular, this paper focuses on the asymmetries in bond market expectations, as measured by the skewness of...

Seit Frühjahr 2010 wurden die Nominalzinsen im Euroraum durch eine massive Politik des billigen Geldes auf historische Tiefstände gedrückt. Gerhard Rösl, Ostbayerische Technische Hochschule Regensburg und Karl-Heinz Tödter, Bundesbankdirektor a.D., beschäftigen sich mit den Kosten dieser...