Showing 1 - 10 of 22
betrachtet. Es zeigt sich, daß eine Reihe von Indikatoren für eine kurzfristige Prognose geeignet sind, daß aber eine Prognose … forecast horizons or for the prediction of turning points …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495601
the estimation approach. A real-time application to the relationship between daily corporate bond spreads and quarterly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011164090
Mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) regressions allow to estimate dynamic equations that explain a low-frequency variable by high-frequency variables and their lags. When the difference in sampling frequencies between the regressand and the regressors is large, distributed lag functions are typically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084496
This paper compares two single-equation approaches from the recent nowcast literature: Mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) regressions and bridge equations. Both approach are used to nowcast a low-frequency variable such as quarterly GDP growth by higher-frequency business cycle indicators. Three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011093850
This paper compares the mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) and mixed-frequency VAR (MF-VAR) approaches to model specification in the presence of mixed-frequency data, e.g., monthly and quarterly series. MIDAS leads to parsimonious models based on exponential lag polynomials for the coefficients,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528546
, amongst others, the factor estimation method and the number of factors, lag length and indicator selection. Thus, there are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123534
combinations of factor estimation methods and Factor-MIDAS projections with respect to nowcast performance. Additionally, we …. Our empirical findings show that the factor estimation methods don't differ much with respect to nowcasting accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124208
Mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) regressions allow to estimate dynamic equations that explain a low-frequency variable by high-frequency variables and their lags. When the difference in sampling frequencies between the regressand and the regressors is large, distributed lag functions are typically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009493254
This paper provides a review of the recent literature concerned with large factor models as forecast devices.We focus … estimation techniques are necessary, expanding on the standard approaches for balanced data such as principal components (PC …). The estimation methods include variants of the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm together with PC and factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854422
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003389580