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under private agent learning can in some cases be stable when the observed sunspot has a suitable time series structure. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986495
We examine existence and stability under learning of sunspot equilibria in a New Keynesian model incorporating inertia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464106
be led to rules that generate indeterminacy and/or instability under learning. This problem is compounded by uncertainty … about structural parameters since an optimal rule that is determinate and stable under learning for one calibration may be … indeterminate or unstable under learning under a different calibration. We advocate a procedure in which policymakers restrict …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593754
solutions under adaptive learning, focusing on "common factor" or "resonant frequency" representations in which the observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593762
parameter regions in which these sunspots are stable under learning. However, once the parameters are restricted to coincide …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635095
A striking implication of the replacement of adaptive expectations by Rational Expectations was the "Lucas Critique," which showed that expectation parameters, and endogenous variable dynamics, depend on policy parameters. We consider this issue from the vantage point of a bounded rationality,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635099
equilibrium: eductive stability never obtains. This impossibility theorem has a counterpart when adaptive learning is incorporated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141000
models of expectations formation that rely on econometric learning. Some apparently natural policy rules turn out to imply … expectational instability of private agents' learning. We use the standard New Keynesian model to illustrate this problem and survey … learning. We then consider some practical concerns such as measurement errors in private expectations, observability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666454
agents forecast using adaptive learning. Because of the zero lower bound on interest rates, active interest rate rules are … learning dynamics we find the additional possibility of a liquidity trap, in which the economy slips below this low inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666651
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000866787