In this paper, we first formulate a number of working hypotheses about the likely contributions of exchange rate policy to economic development on the background of the famous trilemmaʺ which exchange rate policy has to face. Then, we broadly review experiences made by developing countries with...

The prime task of modelling cross-market contagion is to predict the imminence of a pestilent currency crisis. Empirical models are developed here to study the roles and channels of contagion in exchange rate volatilities, in ways which are as economically sound and econometrically simple as...

It is widely believed that seriously excess debt problems form a major cause of the 1997 Asian financial crisis. This paper investigates empirically the role of the debt problems with respect to both the won/$US rate fluctuations and the won collapse in November 1997. The problems are...